Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000695 0.000725 0.000755 0.000788 0.000823 0.000858 0.000898
2025-11-02 0.000647 0.000691 0.000737 0.000789 0.000846 0.000907 0.000978
2025-11-09 0.000601 0.000654 0.000711 0.000776 0.000851 0.000934 0.001033
2025-11-16 0.000566 0.000624 0.000689 0.000766 0.000856 0.000958 0.001084
2025-11-23 0.000549 0.000615 0.000688 0.000778 0.000885 0.001009 0.001167
2025-11-30 0.000530 0.000600 0.000680 0.000780 0.000900 0.001044 0.001232
2025-12-07 0.000507 0.000579 0.000663 0.000769 0.000900 0.001059 0.001271
2025-12-14 0.000486 0.000560 0.000647 0.000758 0.000897 0.001070 0.001305
2025-12-21 0.000468 0.000544 0.000634 0.000750 0.000898 0.001084 0.001343
2025-12-28 0.000441 0.000515 0.000604 0.000719 0.000868 0.001057 0.001324
2026-01-04 0.000426 0.000500 0.000590 0.000709 0.000864 0.001064 0.001350
2026-01-11 0.000415 0.000491 0.000583 0.000705 0.000868 0.001081 0.001391
2026-01-18 0.000402 0.000478 0.000572 0.000698 0.000867 0.001091 0.001425
2026-01-25 0.000394 0.000472 0.000569 0.000701 0.000880 0.001122 0.001488
2026-02-01 0.000382 0.000460 0.000557 0.000691 0.000876 0.001128 0.001518
2026-02-08 0.000370 0.000448 0.000547 0.000683 0.000872 0.001136 0.001548
2026-02-15 0.000367 0.000447 0.000550 0.000693 0.000895 0.001181 0.001638
2026-02-22 0.000361 0.000442 0.000547 0.000694 0.000906 0.001209 0.001702
2026-03-01 0.000351 0.000432 0.000536 0.000685 0.000901 0.001213 0.001730
2026-03-08 0.000341 0.000421 0.000526 0.000676 0.000894 0.001214 0.001752
2026-03-15 0.000333 0.000413 0.000517 0.000669 0.000891 0.001221 0.001784
2026-03-22 0.000318 0.000395 0.000496 0.000643 0.000859 0.001181 0.001735
2026-03-29 0.000310 0.000386 0.000487 0.000634 0.000853 0.001182 0.001754